Pre-tourney Rankings
Big East
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
5 Villanova 100.0%   1   28 - 4 16 - 2 28 - 4 16 - 2 +17.4      +8.5 15 +8.9 11 70.2 114 +19.9 4 +21.5 1
9 Creighton 100.0%   3   26 - 7 14 - 4 26 - 7 14 - 4 +16.7      +14.8 1 +1.8 117 65.2 245 +15.6 16 +16.8 2
35 St. John's 26.4%   20 - 12 10 - 8 20 - 12 10 - 8 +11.1      +2.8 106 +8.3 14 71.6 89 +9.9 53 +11.2 5
40 Xavier 84.2%   10   21 - 12 10 - 8 21 - 12 10 - 8 +10.7      +6.6 31 +4.0 67 66.6 207 +11.6 38 +11.2 4
44 Providence 100.0%   12   23 - 11 10 - 8 23 - 11 10 - 8 +10.4      +6.8 27 +3.7 81 64.7 260 +12.4 33 +11.3 3
56 Georgetown 10.1%   17 - 14 8 - 10 17 - 14 8 - 10 +9.3      +5.3 48 +3.9 74 64.4 268 +9.0 62 +8.5 7
61 Marquette 0.0%   17 - 15 9 - 9 17 - 15 9 - 9 +8.6      +4.3 68 +4.3 63 67.7 173 +8.6 65 +10.0 6
70 Seton Hall 0.0%   17 - 17 6 - 12 17 - 17 6 - 12 +7.2      +3.6 89 +3.7 80 66.5 208 +5.5 89 +5.8 8
82 Butler 0.0%   13 - 17 4 - 14 13 - 17 4 - 14 +6.4      +1.5 136 +4.9 56 62.6 297 +4.7 104 +2.4 9
154 DePaul 0.0%   12 - 21 3 - 15 12 - 21 3 - 15 +0.9      +1.0 144 -0.1 172 70.6 104 +3.6 119 +1.3 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Villanova 1.0 100.0
Creighton 2.0 100.0
St. John's 3.0 100.0
Xavier 3.0 100.0
Providence 3.0 100.0
Georgetown 7.0 100.0
Marquette 6.0 100.0
Seton Hall 8.0 100.0
Butler 9.0 100.0
DePaul 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Villanova 16 - 2 100.0
Creighton 14 - 4 100.0
St. John's 10 - 8 100.0
Xavier 10 - 8 100.0
Providence 10 - 8 100.0
Georgetown 8 - 10 100.0
Marquette 9 - 9 100.0
Seton Hall 6 - 12 100.0
Butler 4 - 14 100.0
DePaul 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Villanova 100.0% 100.0
Creighton
St. John's
Xavier
Providence
Georgetown
Marquette
Seton Hall
Butler
DePaul


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Villanova 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1   48.6 42.2 8.2 0.9 100.0%
Creighton 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   2.5 12.9 38.2 40.4 5.8 0.3 0.0 100.0%
St. John's 26.4% 0.0% 26.4% 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.6 14.8 0.0 73.6 26.4%
Xavier 84.2% 0.0% 84.2% 10   0.0 0.4 6.2 18.7 35.8 22.7 0.4 15.8 84.2%
Providence 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.1 1.6 6.1 19.9 57.0 15.4 0.0
Georgetown 10.1% 0.0% 10.1% 0.0 0.0 0.6 6.2 3.3 90.0 10.1%
Marquette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Seton Hall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Butler 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Villanova 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.7% 67.9% 41.0% 22.3% 11.4% 5.6%
Creighton 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 87.7% 58.9% 31.4% 16.7% 8.3% 3.9%
St. John's 26.4% 22.7% 15.8% 6.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Xavier 84.2% 5.6% 81.3% 35.7% 10.7% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Providence 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 41.2% 13.5% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Georgetown 10.1% 7.6% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Marquette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seton Hall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Butler 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 4.2 9.6 62.1 26.4 1.9
1st Round 100.0% 4.0 14.1 69.2 16.1 0.6
2nd Round 99.8% 2.7 0.2 5.5 35.5 43.4 14.4 1.0 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 90.5% 1.5 9.5 37.7 43.0 9.2 0.7 0.0
Elite Eight 64.8% 0.8 35.2 48.9 14.9 0.9 0.0
Final Four 38.1% 0.4 61.9 34.7 3.4 0.1
Final Game 19.8% 0.2 80.2 19.3 0.5
Champion 9.7% 0.1 90.4 9.7